Potential serotype-specific effectiveness against IPD of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines V114 and PCV20 in children given a 2+1 dosing regimen.

BACKGROUND: Next generation, higher valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) are assessed and licensed by comparing the immune response across serotypes shared with the PCVs that are standard of care for prevention of pneumococcal disease. METHODS: Using a previously qualified method we predicted the serotype-specific vaccine effectiveness (VE) against invasive pneumococcal disease of V114 and PCV20 for the serotypes shared with PCV13 in an EU, Russian, and Australian pediatric population that is recommended to receive a 2 + 1 dosing regimen. RESULTS: The estimated protective antibody concentrations ranged from 0.03 (serotype 23F) to 1.49 µg/mL (serotype 19F). Predicted VE values for V114 ranged from 79% (serotype 5) to 100% (serotype 23F). V114 had comparable effectiveness to PCV13 for all but one of shared serotypes, with predicted higher effectiveness (in V114) against serotype 3 (93% vs. 65%). Predicted VE values for PCV20 ranged from 47% (serotype 3) to 91% (serotype 14). PCV20 predicted VE was lower than PCV13's for serotypes 4, 19F, 23F, 1, 3, 5, 6A, 7F, and 19A. CONCLUSIONS: Predicted serotype-specific VE values suggest that, with a 2 + 1 dosing regimen, V114 will have greater effectiveness than PCV20 against PCV13 serotypes, particularly for the still-prevalent serotype 3. Real-world VE studies will ultimately provide clarity on the effectiveness of novel PCVs and support further confidence in and/or improvements to modeling efforts.

Pediatric pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) were first introduced in Europe in the early 2000s and their incorporation into national immunization programs has helped decrease the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in Europe and globally. However, some IPD persists, due both to the emergence of non-vaccine pneumococcal serotypes and to the persistence of certain vaccine-targeted serotypes. Higher valency vaccines have been developed to help prevent IPD arising from these serotypes. The goal of the present study is to employ a previously developed model to predict the serotype-specific vaccine effectiveness of higher valency PCVs in a pediatric population that is recommended to receive a 2 + 1 dosing schedule.

Savings in CT Net Scan Energy Consumption: Assessment Using Dose Report Metrics and Comparison With Savings in Idle State Energy Consumption.

BACKGROUND. CT scanners' net scan state (i.e., image acquisition period) represents a potential target for energy savings through protocol adjustments. However, gauging CT energy savings is difficult without installing costly energy monitors. OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this article was to assess correlations between CT dose report metrics and energy consumption during the system net scan state and to compare theoretic energy savings from matching percentage reductions in energy consumption during net scan and idle system states. METHODS. Current sensors were installed on a single CT scanner. A phantom was scanned at varying kilovoltage settings and effective tube current-rotation time settings. A retrospective assessment was performed in 32 patients (mean age, 61.2 ± 17.9 [SD] years; 17 men, 15 women) who underwent 32 single-energy noncontrast abdominopelvic CT examinations from September 22, 2021, to September 27, 2021, on the same scanner. Correlations between dose report metrics and net scan energy consumption were assessed in the phantom and clinical scans, and equations were generated to derive net scan energy consumption from DLP. An additional retrospective assessment was performed in 1355 patients (mean age, 59.3 ± 16.9 years; 663 men, 692 women) who underwent 1728 single-energy noncontrast abdominopelvic CT examinations from January 1, 2021, through December 31, 2021, on the same scanner to estimate net scan energy consumption per examination. This information was integrated with literature-derived values to compare estimated annual national energy savings resulting from 20% reductions in net scan and idle state energy consumption. RESULTS. Net scan energy consumption in the phantom scans showed high linear correlation with DLP (R2 = 0.87), and, in the clinical scans, high linear correlation with CTDIvol (R2 = 0.89) and very high linear correlation with DLP (R2 = 0.92). When combining mean DLP in examinations performed in the 1-year interval, an equation relating DLP and net scan energy consumption and literature values estimated that annual national energy savings was 14.9 times greater (40,437,870 kWh/2,704,000 kWh) by targeting the idle state rather than net scan state. CONCLUSION. CT net scan energy savings can be inferred from reductions in dose report metrics. However, targeting net scan energy consumption has modest impact relative to targeting idle state energy consumption. CLINICAL IMPACT. Environmental sustainability efforts should target the idle state energy consumption of CT.

Predicted serotype-specific effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines V114 and PCV20 against invasive pneumococcal disease in children.

BACKGROUND: Next-generation, higher-valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs), 15-valent PCV V114 and 20-valent PCV (PCV20), have been assessed by comparing their immune responses across serotypes shared with the 13-valent PCV (PCV13). Without efficacy or real-world vaccine effectiveness (VE) it becomes important to relate IgG titers to VE to aid in the interpretation of the immune response elicited by V114 and PCV20. METHODS: We estimated the protective antibody concentrations for each serotype in 7-valent PCV (PCV7) and PCV13 which were then used to predict the serotype-specific VE for each PCV7 and PCV13 non PCV7 serotype present in V114 and PCV20. RESULTS: The predicted effectiveness of V114 was comparable to PCV7 and PCV13 for 11 of the 13 shared serotypes (1, 4, 5, 6B, 7F, 9 V, 14, 18C, 19A, 19F, and 23F), with improved effectiveness against serotype 3 and decreased effectiveness against serotype 6A. PCV20 had predicted effectiveness comparable to PCV7 and PCV13 for 7 of the 13 shared serotypes (5, 6A, 7F, 9 V, 18C, 19F, and 23F), with decreased effectiveness against the remaining serotypes (1, 3, 4, 6B, 14, and 19A). CONCLUSIONS: Prediction of serotype-specific VE values suggests that V114 retains greater effectiveness than PCV20 toward most serotypes present in PCV7 and PCV13.

Pediatric pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) first became available in 2000, when the seven-valent PCV (PCV7) was approved. Since then, PCV7 has been replaced by higher-valency vaccines, including the ten-valent (PCV10) and thirteen-valent (PCV13) vaccines and, more recently, fifteen- and twenty-valent vaccines (V114 and PCV20, respectively). The increase in valency provides broader serotype coverage against invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in children. However, IPD due to serotypes contained in PCV7 and PCV13 continue to be observed. In the current study, we used a previously published method to estimate the vaccine effectiveness of V114 and PCV20 in a US and Puerto Rican pediatric population that is recommended to receive a 3 + 1 dosing schedule.

Replicate Testing of Clinical Endpoints Can Prevent No-Go Decisions for Beneficial Vaccines.

In vaccine efficacy trials, inaccurate counting of infection cases leads to systematic under-estimation-or "dilution"-of vaccine efficacy. In particular, if a sufficient fraction of observed cases are false positives, apparent efficacy will be greatly reduced, leading to unwarranted no-go decisions in vaccine development. Here, we propose a range of replicate testing strategies to address this problem, considering the additional challenge of uncertainty in both infection incidence and diagnostic assay specificity/sensitivity. A strategy that counts an infection case only if a majority of replicate assays return a positive result can substantially reduce efficacy dilution for assays with non-systematic (i.e., "random") errors. We also find that a cost-effective variant of this strategy, using confirmatory assays only if an initial assay is positive, yields a comparable benefit. In clinical trials, where frequent longitudinal samples are needed to detect short-lived infections, this "confirmatory majority rule" strategy can prevent the accumulation of false positives from magnifying efficacy dilution. When widespread public health screening is used for viruses, such as SARS-CoV-2, that have non-differentiating features or may be asymptomatic, these strategies can also serve to reduce unneeded isolations caused by false positives.

Evaluation of a stabilized RSV pre-fusion F mRNA vaccine: Preclinical studies and Phase 1 clinical testing in healthy adults.

Human respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes a substantial proportion of respiratory tract infections worldwide. Although RSV reinfections occur throughout life, older adults, particularly those with underlying comorbidities, are at risk for severe complications from RSV. There is no RSV vaccine available to date, and treatment of RSV in adults is largely supportive. A correlate of protection for RSV has not yet been established, but antibodies targeting the pre-fusion conformation of the RSV F glycoprotein play an important role in RSV neutralization. We previously reported a Phase 1 study of an mRNA-based vaccine (V171) expressing a pre-fusion-stabilized RSV F protein (mDS-Cav1) in healthy adults. Here, we evaluated an mRNA-based vaccine (V172) expressing a further stabilized RSV pre-fusion F protein (mVRC1). mVRC1 is a single chain version of RSV F with interprotomer disulfides in addition to the stabilizing mutations present in the mDS-Cav1 antigen. The immunogenicity of the two mRNA-based vaccines encoding mVRC1 (V172) or a sequence-optimized version of mDS-Cav1 to improve transcriptional fidelity (V171.2) were compared in RSV-naïve and RSV-experienced African green monkeys (AGMs). V172 induced higher neutralizing antibody titers than V171.2 and demonstrated protection in the AGM challenge model. We conducted a Phase 1, randomized, placebo-controlled, clinical trial of 25 µg, 100 µg, 200 µg, or 300 µg of V172 in healthy older adults (60-79 years old; N = 112) and 100 µg, 200 µg, or 300 µg of V172 in healthy younger adults (18-49 years old; N = 48). The primary clinical objectives were to evaluate the safety and tolerability of V172, and the secondary objective was to evaluate RSV serum neutralization titers. The most commonly reported solicited adverse events were injection-site pain, injection-site swelling, headache, and tiredness. V172 was generally well tolerated in older and younger adults and increased serum neutralizing antibody titers, pre-fusion F-specific competing antibody titers, and RSV F-specific T-cell responses.

Predicting vaccine effectiveness against invasive pneumococcal disease in children using immunogenicity data.

The strength of the immune response, as measured by antibody concentrations, varies between pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs). Linking immunogenicity and effectiveness is necessary to assess whether changes in immune response from currently recommended PCVs to next-generation vaccines could impact effectiveness. Simulated reverse cumulative distribution curves were generated using published serotype-specific IgG concentrations with placebo or PCV7. This was combined with the published estimates of serotype-specific vaccine effectiveness of PCV7 against invasive pneumococcal disease to estimate the protective antibody concentration for each serotype in PCV7. Then, based on the published serotype-specific IgG concentrations in PCV13 recipients, reverse cumulative distribution curves were generated for the serotypes shared between PCV13 and PCV7. These estimated protective antibody concentration values were then used to predict the vaccine effectiveness of PCV13. The results were compared to published aggregate values for vaccine effectiveness. The aggregate median predicted vaccine effectiveness values were similar to previously reported observed values for the United Kingdom (93% versus 90%), Australia (71% versus 70%), and Germany (91% versus 90%). These results demonstrate that IgG concentrations of next-generation PCVs can be used to generate reliable estimates of vaccine effectiveness for serotypes shared with established PCVs.

Study of the Natural Crystalline Lens Characteristics Using Dual-Energy Computed Tomography.

There is a paucity of radiologic literature regarding age-related cataract, and little is known about any differences in the imaging appearance of the natural crystalline lens on computed tomography (CT) exams among different demographic groups. In this retrospective review of 198 eyes in 103 adults who underwent dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) exams of the head, regions of interest spanning 3−5 mm were placed over the center of the lens, and the x-ray attenuation of each lens was recorded in Hounsfield Units (HU) at 3 energy levels: 40 keV, 70 keV, and 190 keV. Generalized estimating equations (GEEs) were used to assess the association of clinical or demographic data with lens attenuation. The mean HU values were significantly lower for the older vs. younger group at 40 keV (GEE p-value = 0.022), but there was no significant difference at higher energy levels (p > 0.05). Mean HU values were significantly higher for females vs. males and non-whites vs. non-Hispanic whites at all 3 energy levels in bivariate and multivariable analyses (all p-value < 0.05). There was no significant association between lens attenuation and either diabetes or smoking status. The crystalline lens of females and non-whites had higher attenuation on DECT which may suggest higher density or increased concentration of materials like calcium and increased potential for cataract formation. Given the large scope of cataracts as a cause of visual impairment and the racial disparities that exist in its detection and treatment, further investigation into the role of opportunistic imaging to detect cataract formation is warranted.

Accelerating model-informed decisions for COVID-19 vaccine candidates using a model-based meta-analysis approach.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has increased the need for innovative quantitative decision tools to support rapid development of safe and efficacious vaccines against SARS-CoV-2. To meet that need, we developed and applied a model-based meta-analysis (MBMA) approach integrating non-clinical and clinical immunogenicity and protection data. METHODS: A systematic literature review identified studies of vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 in rhesus macaques (RM) and humans. Summary-level data of 13 RM and 8 clinical trials were used in the analysis. A RM MBMA model was developed to quantify the relationship between serum neutralizing (SN) titres after vaccination and peak viral load (VL) post-challenge in RM. The translation of the RM MBMA model to a clinical protection model was then carried out to predict clinical efficacies based on RM data alone. Subsequently, clinical SN and efficacy data were integrated to develop three predictive models of efficacy - a calibrated RM MBMA, a joint (RM-Clinical) MBMA, and the clinical MBMA model. The three models were leveraged to predict efficacies of vaccine candidates not included in the model and efficacies against newer strains of SARS-CoV-2. FINDINGS: Clinical efficacies predicted based on RM data alone were in reasonable agreement with the reported data. The SN titre predicted to provide 50% efficacy was estimated to be about 21% of the mean human convalescent titre level, and that value was consistent across the three models. Clinical efficacies predicted from the MBMA models agreed with reported efficacies for two vaccine candidates (BBV152 and CoronaVac) not included in the modelling and for efficacies against delta variant. INTERPRETATION: The three MBMA models are predictive of protection against SARS-CoV-2 and provide a translational framework to enable early Go/No-Go and study design decisions using non-clinical and/or limited clinical immunogenicity data in the development of novel SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. FUNDING: This study was funded by Merck Sharp & Dohme LLC, a subsidiary of Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA.

Predicting effectiveness of the V114 vaccine against invasive pneumococcal disease in children.

BACKGROUND: The potential impact of new pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) is assessed by using immune responses to predict their effectiveness against invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD). This analysis predicted the serotype-specific effectiveness against IPD of a new 15-valent PCV (V114) for the serotypes shared with a 13-valent PCV (PCV13), in a US pediatric population given a 3 + 1 dosing regimen. METHODS: Beginning with the known serotype-specific antibody concentrations after vaccination with placebo, 7-valent PCV (PCV7) and PCV13, reverse cumulative distribution curves were used, along with published serotype-specific vaccine effectiveness of PCV7 and PCV13, to derive a protective antibody concentration (Cp) for each PCV13 serotype in V114. Serotype-specific effectiveness was predicted using the Cp estimates and the respective serotype-specific antibody concentrations of placebo and V114 recipients in recent pediatric clinical trials. RESULTS: Predicted serotype-specific V114 effectiveness values ranged from 86% to 99% for PCV7 serotypes and from 59% to 97% for (non-PCV7) PCV13 serotypes. CONCLUSIONS: V114 serotype-specific effectiveness against IPD in a US pediatric population was predicted to be largely comparable to that of PCV7 and PCV13 for shared serotypes, with models suggesting likelihood of high overall benefit gained from increased serotype 3 effectiveness, and additional protection against serotypes 22 F and 33 F.

Brain topography on adult ultrasound images: Techniques, interpretation, and image library.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Many studies have explored the possibility of using cranial ultrasound for discerning intracranial pathologies like tumors, hemorrhagic stroke, or subdural hemorrhage in clinical scenarios where computer tomography may not be accessible or feasible. The visualization of intracranial anatomy on B-mode ultrasound is challenging due to the presence of the skull that limits insonation to a few segments on the temporal bone that are thin enough to allow transcranial transmission of sound. Several artifacts are produced by hyperechoic signals inherent in brain and skull anatomy when images are created using temporal windows. METHODS: While the literature has investigated the accuracy of diagnosis of intracranial pathology with ultrasound, we lack a reference source for images acquired on cranial topography on B-mode ultrasound to illustrate the appearance of normal and abnormal structures of the brain and skull. Two investigators underwent hands-on training in Cranial point-of-care ultrasound (c-POCUS) and acquired multiple images from each patient to obtain the most in-depth images of brain to investigate all visible anatomical structures and pathology within 24 hours of any CT/MRI imaging done. RESULTS: Most reproducible structures visible on c-POCUS included bony parts and parenchymal structures. Transcranial and abdominal presets were equivalent in elucidating anatomical structures. Brain pathology like parenchymal hemorrhage, cerebral edema, and hydrocephalus were also visualized. CONCLUSIONS: We present an illustrated anatomical atlas of cranial ultrasound B-mode images acquired in various pathologies in a critical care environment and compare our findings with published literature by performing a scoping review of literature on the subject.

Magnetic Resonance Imaging of Head and Neck Emergencies, a Symptom-Based Review, Part 1: General Considerations, Vision Loss, and Eye Pain.

Use of magnetic resonance (MR) imaging in the emergency department continues to increase. Although computed tomography is the first-line imaging modality for most head and neck emergencies, MR is superior in some situations and imparts no ionizing radiation. This article provides a symptom-based approach to nontraumatic head and neck pathologic conditions most relevant to emergency head and neck MR imaging, emphasizing relevant anatomy, "do not miss" findings affecting clinical management, and features that may aid differentiation from potential mimics. Essential MR sequences and strategies for obtaining high-quality images when faced with patient motion and other technical challenges are also discussed.

Magnetic Resonance Imaging of Head and Neck Emergencies, a Symptom-Based Review, Part 2: Ear Pain, Face Pain, and Fever.

The use of magnetic resonance (MR) imaging in the emergency department continues to increase. Although computed tomography is the first-line imaging modality for most head and neck emergencies, MR is superior in some situations and imparts no ionizing radiation. This article provides a symptom-based approach to nontraumatic head and neck pathologic conditions most relevant to emergency head and neck MR imaging, emphasizing relevant anatomy, "do not miss" findings affecting clinical management, and features that may aid differentiation from potential mimics. Essential MR sequences and strategies for obtaining high-quality images when faced with patient motion and other technical challenges are also discussed.

Safety and immunogenicity of intramuscular, single-dose V590 (rVSV-SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine) in healthy adults: Results from a phase 1 randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, dose-ranging trial.

BACKGROUND: Vaccines against COVID-19 are needed to overcome challenges associated with mitigating the global pandemic. We report the safety and immunogenicity of V590, a live recombinant vesicular stomatitis virus-based COVID-19 vaccine candidate. METHODS: In this placebo-controlled, double-blind, three-part phase 1 study, healthy adults were randomised to receive a single intramuscular dose of vaccine or placebo. In Part 1, younger (18-54 years) and, in Part 2, older (≥55 years) adults seronegative for SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid received one of four V590 dose levels (5.00 × 105; 2.40 × 106; 1.15 × 107; or 5.55 × 107 plaque-forming units [pfu]) or placebo. In Part 3, a single V590 dose level (5.55 × 107 pfu) or placebo was administered to younger SARS-CoV-2 seropositive adults. Primary endpoints included adverse events (AEs) and for Parts 1 and 2 anti-SARS-CoV-2 serum neutralising antibody responses measured by 50% plaque reduction neutralisation (PRNT50) assay at Day 28. Registration NCT04569786 [P001-02]. FINDINGS: 232 participants were randomised and 219 completed the study. In seronegative participants, anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike-specific antibody responses to V590 were low and comparable to placebo across the lower dose levels. At the highest dose level (5.55 × 107 pfu), anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike-specific PRNT50 was 2.3-fold higher than placebo. The most frequently reported AEs were injection-site pain (38.4%), headache (15.1%) and fatigue (13.4%). INTERPRETATION: V590 was generally well-tolerated. However, Day 28 anti-SARS-Cov-2 spike-specific antibody responses in seronegative participants following a single intramuscular administration of V590 were not sufficient to warrant continued development. FUNDING: The study was funded by Merck Sharp & Dohme LLC., a subsidiary of Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA.

Safety and immunogenicity of the measles vector-based SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate, V591, in adults: results from a phase 1/2 randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, dose-ranging trial.

BACKGROUND: We report on the safety and immunogenicity of V591, a measles vector-based SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate. METHODS: In this multicentre, randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind, phase 1/2 trial, healthy adults with no history of COVID-19 disease were assigned to intramuscular injection of V591 or placebo (4:1 ratio). In part 1, younger adults (18-55 years) received V591 median tissue culture infectious dose (TCID50)-levels of 1×105 or 1×106 or placebo, 56 days apart. In part 2, younger and older (>55 years) adults received a single dose of one of four (104/105/106/107) or one of two (105/106) V591 TCID50 levels, respectively, or placebo. PRIMARY OUTCOME: safety/tolerability. Secondary outcome: humoral immunogenicity. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04498247. FINDINGS: From August-December 2020, 444 participants were screened and 263 randomised (210 V591; 53 placebo); 262 received at least one and 10 received two doses of V591 or placebo. Adverse events were experienced by 140/209 (67.0%) V591 dose-group participants and 37/53 (69.8%) placebo-group participants following injection 1; most frequent were fatigue (57 [27.3%] vs 20 [37.7%]), headache (57 [27.3%] vs 19 [35.8%]), myalgia (35 [16.7%] vs 10 [18.9%]), and injection-site pain (35 [16.7%] vs 4 [7.5%]). No deaths nor vaccine-related serious adverse events occurred. At Day 29, no anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike serum neutralising antibody and IgG-responses were identified in placebo or the three lower V591 dose-groups; responses were detected with V591 1×107 TCID50, although titres were lower than convalescent serum. INTERPRETATION: V591 was generally well tolerated, but immunogenicity was insufficient to warrant continued development. FUNDING: Merck Sharp & Dohme, Corp., a subsidiary of Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ, USA.

Upper and lower respiratory tract correlates of protection against respiratory syncytial virus following vaccination of nonhuman primates.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is a major cause of respiratory illness in infants and the elderly. Although several vaccines have been developed, none have succeeded in part due to our incomplete understanding of the correlates of immune protection. While both T cells and antibodies play a role, emerging data suggest that antibody-mediated mechanisms alone may be sufficient to provide protection. Therefore, to map the humoral correlates of immunity against RSV, antibody responses across six different vaccines were profiled in a highly controlled nonhuman primate-challenge model. Viral loads were monitored in both the upper and lower respiratory tracts, and machine learning was used to determine the vaccine platform-agnostic antibody features associated with protection. Upper respiratory control was associated with virus-specific IgA levels, neutralization, and complement activity, whereas lower respiratory control was associated with Fc-mediated effector mechanisms. These findings provide critical compartment-specific insights toward the rational development of future vaccines.

From complex data to biological insight: 'DEKER' feature selection and network inference.

Network inference is a valuable approach for gaining mechanistic insight from high-dimensional biological data. Existing methods for network inference focus on ranking all possible relations (edges) among all measured quantities such as genes, proteins, metabolites (features) observed, which yields a dense network that is challenging to interpret. Identifying a sparse, interpretable network using these methods thus requires an error-prone thresholding step which compromises their performance. In this article we propose a new method, DEKER-NET, that addresses this limitation by directly identifying a sparse, interpretable network without thresholding, improving real-world performance. DEKER-NET uses a novel machine learning method for feature selection in an iterative framework for network inference. DEKER-NET is extremely flexible, handling linear and nonlinear relations while making no assumptions about the underlying distribution of data, and is suitable for categorical or continuous variables. We test our method on the Dialogue for Reverse Engineering Assessments and Methods (DREAM) challenge data, demonstrating that it can directly identify sparse, interpretable networks without thresholding while maintaining performance comparable to the hypothetical best-case thresholded network of other methods.

Practical Genetics for the Neuroradiologist: Adding Value in Neurogenetic Disease.

Genetic discoveries have transformed our understanding of many neurologic diseases. Identification of specific causal pathogenic variants has improved understanding of pathophysiology and enabled replacement of many confusing eponyms and acronyms with more meaningful and clinically relevant genetics-based terminology. In this era of rapid scientific advancement, multidisciplinary collaboration among pediatricians, neurologists, geneticists, radiologists, and other members of the health care team is increasingly important in the care of patients with genetic neurologic diseases. Radiologists familiar with neurogenetic disease add value by (1) recognizing constellations of characteristic imaging findings that are associated with a genetic disease before one is clinically suspected; (2) predicting the most likely genotypes for a given imaging phenotype in clinically suspected genetic disease; and (3) providing detailed and accurate descriptions of the imaging phenotype in challenging cases with unknown or uncertain genotypes. This review aims to increase awareness and understanding of pathogenic variants relating to neurologic disease by (1) briefly reviewing foundational knowledge of chromosomes, inheritance patterns, and mutagenesis; (2) providing concrete examples of and detailed information about specific neurologic diseases resulting from pathogenic variants; and (3) highlighting clinical and imaging features that are of greatest relevance for the radiologist.

A method to estimate probability of disease and vaccine efficacy from clinical trial immunogenicity data.

Vaccine efficacy is often assessed by counting disease cases in a clinical trial. A new quantitative framework proposed here ("PoDBAY," Probability of Disease Bayesian Analysis), estimates vaccine efficacy (and confidence interval) using immune response biomarker data collected shortly after vaccination. Given a biomarker associated with protection, PoDBAY describes the relationship between biomarker and probability of disease as a sigmoid probability of disease ("PoD") curve. The PoDBAY framework is illustrated using clinical trial simulations and with data for influenza, zoster, and dengue virus vaccines. The simulations demonstrate that PoDBAY efficacy estimation (which integrates the PoD and biomarker data), can be accurate and more precise than the standard (case-count) estimation, contributing to more sensitive and specific decisions than threshold-based correlate of protection or case-count-based methods. For all three vaccine examples, the PoD fit indicates a substantial association between the biomarkers and protection, and efficacy estimated by PoDBAY from relatively little immunogenicity data is predictive of the standard estimate of efficacy, demonstrating how PoDBAY can provide early assessments of vaccine efficacy. Methods like PoDBAY can help accelerate and economize vaccine development using an immunological predictor of protection. For example, in the current effort against the COVID-19 pandemic it might provide information to help prioritize (rank) candidates both earlier in a trial and earlier in development.

Forward and reverse translational approaches to predict efficacy of neutralizing respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) antibody prophylaxis.

BACKGROUND: Neutralizing mAbs can prevent communicable viral diseases. MK-1654 is a respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) F glycoprotein neutralizing monoclonal antibody (mAb) under development to prevent RSV infection in infants. Development and validation of methods to predict efficacious doses of neutralizing antibodies across patient populations exposed to a time-varying force of infection (i.e., seasonal variation) are necessary. METHODS: Five decades of clinical trial literature were leveraged to build a model-based meta-analysis (MBMA) describing the relationship between RSV serum neutralizing activity (SNA) and clinical endpoints. The MBMA was validated by backward translation to animal challenge experiments and forward translation to predict results of a recent RSV mAb trial. MBMA predictions were evaluated against a human trial of 70 participants who received either placebo or one of four dose-levels of MK-1654 and were challenged with RSV [NCT04086472]. The MBMA was used to perform clinical trial simulations and predict efficacy of MK-1654 in the infant target population. FINDINGS: The MBMA established a quantitative relationship between RSV SNA and clinical endpoints. This relationship was quantitatively consistent with animal model challenge experiments and results of a recently published clinical trial. Additionally, SNA elicited by increasing doses of MK-1654 in humans reduced RSV symptomatic infection rates with a quantitative relationship that approximated the MBMA. The MBMA indicated a high probability that a single dose of ≥ 75 mg of MK-1654 will result in prophylactic efficacy (> 75% for 5 months) in infants. INTERPRETATION: An MBMA approach can predict efficacy of neutralizing antibodies against RSV and potentially other respiratory pathogens.